Aperture Market Intelligence

Composite score

Component inputs are normalized to a 0-100 scale, weighted by pillar, and aggregated into the active MERI definition.

Rank eligibility

A country can display a composite while remaining unranked if confidence or missing-component rules are not met.

Source traceability

Indicator rows retain source, license, citation, raw-object, quality, and imputation metadata when available.

1Source rows

Observed, licensed, and attributed indicator values.

2Normalize

Inputs are transformed onto the active 0-100 score scale.

3Weight

Components roll into pillars using persisted methodology weights.

4Guardrail

Confidence, missing-data, and imputation rules decide rank eligibility.

5Publish

Scored countries display; eligible countries receive a public rank.

12Active definitions

128Components

0-100Score scale

1.0.0Version

Active definition

MERI-Consumer Goods Sector Overlay

MERI_CG v1.0.0

Sector overlay for FMCG, retail, durable-goods and e-commerce entrants. Stage-1 reweights core pillars (P1=0.25, P2=0.45, P3=0.30) emphasising trade openness and logistics. Stage-2 adds CG.C1 market size, CG.C2 e-commerce readiness, CG.C4 consumer protection. Composite: weighted geometric mean.

Aggregation

weighted_geometric_mean

Ranking

descending_score

Confidence

Min rank confidence 50

Missing Data

Exclude rank above 40% missing

Coverage and limitations

Latest scored readiness year

The public rankings use the newest MERI_READINESS year with non-null composites, currently 2024 in production data.

2025 coverage

Some 2025 component rows exist, but broader native source coverage remains below the composite scoring threshold.

Imputation

Imputed rows are flagged, included in coverage, and credited at lower confidence than observed source values.

Traceability

Normalized values retain source, license, citation, raw-object, and lineage references when available.

Critical coverage

Critical components must be present; imputed critical values reduce confidence but are not treated as fully missing.

Missing threshold

Countries with too many missing required components remain display-only until source coverage improves.

Native precedence

Native same-year source rows override bounded carry-forward or adjacent-release imputation when available.

Fdirri
Contract Enf
IP Protect

Market Infrastructure

37 components · total weight 38.7

Opportunity

7 components · total weight 7

Regulatory Institutional

37 components · total weight 39.1

Risk

4 components · total weight 4

Sector Tilt

11 components · total weight 3

Talent Operating

32 components · total weight 32.2

Basic Digital Infrastructure

Market Infrastructure · weight 1 · higher is better

min maxpeer mean allowed

Financial System Accessibility

Market Infrastructure · weight 1 · higher is better

min maxpeer mean allowed

Logistics Performance

Market Infrastructure · weight 1 · higher is better

min maxpeer mean allowed

Trade Openness

Market Infrastructure · weight 1 · lower is better

min maxpeer mean allowed

General Business Entry Friction

Regulatory Institutional · weight 1 · higher is better

percentilesource fallback then peer mean

Contract Enforcement Reliability

Regulatory Institutional · weight 1 · higher is better

percentilesource fallback then peer mean

Foreign Ownership Restrictions

Regulatory Institutional · weight 1 · lower is better

min maxno peer imputation

Intellectual Property Protection

Regulatory Institutional · weight 0.5 · higher is better

percentilepeer mean allowed

Corruption Risk

Pillar	Component	Weight	Direction	Normalization	Imputation
market infrastructure	E-commerce & Retail Readiness CG.C2_ECOMMERCE_RETAIL	1.2	higher is better	percentile	sector specific no impute
market infrastructure	Basic Digital Infrastructure DIGITAL_INFRA	0.8	higher is better	percentile	source fallback then peer mean
market infrastructure	Financial System Accessibility FIN_ACCESS	1.5	higher is better	percentile	source fallback then peer mean
market infrastructure	Logistics Performance LPI	1.5	higher is better	percentile	source fallback then peer mean
market infrastructure	Trade Openness TRADE_OPEN	2	higher is better	percentile	source fallback then peer mean
regulatory institutional	General Business Entry Friction BIZ_ENTRY	1	higher is better	percentile	source fallback then peer mean
regulatory institutional	Consumer Protection & Product Standards CG.C4_CONSUMER_PROTECTION	0.8	higher is better	percentile	sector specific no impute
regulatory institutional	Contract Enforcement Reliability CONTRACT_ENF	1	higher is better	percentile	source fallback then peer mean

Model metadata

{
  "model": "MERI-Sector-Overlay",
  "stage": "stage_2_full",
  "tiers": [
    {
      "name": "Tier 1: Strong fit",
      "minimum_score": 70
    },
    {
      "name": "Tier 2: Workable",
      "minimum_score": 55
    },
    {
      "name": "Tier 3: Watch list",
      "minimum_score": 40
    },
    {
      "name": "Tier 4: Challenging",
      "minimum_score": 25
    },
    {
      "name": "Tier 5: Not recommended",
      "minimum_score": 0
    }
  ],
  "pillars": [
    {
      "name": "regulatory_institutional",
      "weight": 0.25,
      "aggregation": "weighted_average",
      "display_name": "Regulatory & Institutional"
    },
    {
      "name": "market_infrastructure",
      "weight": 0.45,
      "aggregation": "weighted_average",
      "display_name": "Market Access & Infrastructure"
    },
    {
      "name": "talent_operating",
      "weight": 0.3,
      "aggregation": "weighted_average",
      "display_name": "Talent & Operating Environment"
    }
  ],
  "ranking": {
    "mode": "descending_score",
    "rank_type": "competition",
    "peer_ranks": [
      "global",
      "income_group",
      "region"
    ],
    "exclude_when_data_confidence_below": 50
  },
  "version": "1.0.0",
  "maturity": "preview",
  "composite": {
    "formula": "(P1^0.25 * P2^0.45 * P3^0.30)^(1/1.0)",
    "aggregation": "weighted_geometric_mean",
    "pillar_weights": {
      "talent_operating": 0.3,
      "market_infrastructure": 0.45,
      "regulatory_institutional": 0.25
    },
    "required_pillars": "all"
  },
  "base_index": "MERI_READINESS",
  "components": [
    "BIZ_ENTRY",
    "FDIRRI",
    "CONTRACT_ENF",
    "IP_PROTECT",
    "CG.C4_CONSUMER_PROTECTION",
    "LPI",
    "DIGITAL_INFRA",
    "TRADE_OPEN",
    "FIN_ACCESS",
    "CG.C2_ECOMMERCE_RETAIL",
    "HUMAN_CAP",
    "LABOR",
    "CORRUPTION",
    "SECURITY_ROL"
  ],
  "confidence": {
    "default_weight": 1,
    "critical_weight": 2,
    "critical_components": [
      "FDIRRI",
      "CONTRACT_ENF",
      "IP_PROTECT"
    ],
    "min_rank_confidence": 50,
    "critical_missing_cap": {
      "missing_count": 2,
      "max_confidence": 49
    }
  },
  "stage_note": "Stage-1 core-only critical gate restored by 202606171545_data_meri_sector_quickfix.sql. CG.C1_MARKET_SIZE removed from this readiness overlay: it correlates r=0.93 with GDP/cap PPP and measures sector DEMAND/opportunity, not readiness (review §5 Fix 3/4). It should be re-homed to a sector Opportunity overlay in v2. Supplementary indicators (CG.C4) remain optional/coverage-aware.",
  "validation": {
    "outcome_target": "consumer_goods_fdi_lagged",
    "divergence_threshold_spearman_rho": 0.92
  },
  "score_scale": {
    "maximum": 100,
    "minimum": 0,
    "higher_is_better": true
  },
  "missing_data": {
    "peer_groups": [
      "region",
      "income_group"
    ],
    "peer_impute_when_missing_ratio_gt": 0.1,
    "exclude_rank_when_missing_ratio_gt": 0.4,
    "peer_impute_when_missing_ratio_lte": 0.4
  },
  "overlay_type": "consumer_goods",
  "maturity_note": "Spearman rho >= 0.92 vs MERI_READINESS at Stage-1; moves to production when sector-specific indicators reach 60+ country coverage.",
  "source_document": "MERI-Remaining-Sector-Overlays-Build-Spec.md",
  "required_components": [
    "BIZ_ENTRY",
    "FDIRRI",
    "CONTRACT_ENF",
    "IP_PROTECT",
    "LPI",
    "TRADE_OPEN",
    "FIN_ACCESS",
    "HUMAN_CAP",
    "LABOR",
    "CORRUPTION",
    "SECURITY_ROL"
  ]
}

Transparent market readiness scoring.

How MERI is published

Active definition

MERI-Consumer Goods Sector Overlay

Coverage and limitations

Confidence and missing-data policy

Pillar summary

Readiness component map

Component rules

Model metadata